tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Francisco via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:30 DTW → 05:53 ORD
    UA 3483 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 85% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 37m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:30 ORD → 10:19 SFO
    UA 1116 · United · 4h 49m · 87% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 52 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 37m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 49mDTW 05:30 to SFO 10:19, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.