tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Richmond via Chicago: arrives on time 85%

  1. 05:30 DTW → 05:53 ORD
    UA 3483 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 85% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 17m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:10 ORD → 11:30 RIC
    AA 4500 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 20m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 47 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 17m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (94%).
Total trip6h 00mDTW 05:30 to RIC 11:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.