tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Grand Rapids: arrives on time 69%

  1. 09:00 EWR → 11:12 GRR
    UA 3486 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 12m · 90% on time, 3.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 33m layover in Grand Rapids (GRR) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:45 GRR → 12:50 MDW
    WN 1895 · Southwest · 1h 05m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection82%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 18% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 33m layover.
Arrives on time69%First flight not cancelled (3.7% are) × connection made (82%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (88%).
Total trip4h 50mEWR 09:00 to MDW 12:50, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.