tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Tampa via Dulles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 10:00 SDF → 11:40 IAD
    UA 3508 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 40m · 88% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 09m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:49 IAD → 15:15 TPA
    UA 2277 · United · 2h 26m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 19 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 24 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 09m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip5h 15mSDF 10:00 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.