tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dulles via Charlotte: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:25 EWR → 09:31 CLT
    UA 3517 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 95% on time, 6.5% cancelled
  2. 56m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:27 CLT → 11:55 IAD
    UA 4012 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 11 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 56m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (6.5% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip4h 30mEWR 07:25 to IAD 11:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.