tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Tampa via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 05:30 CMH → 06:09 ORD
    UA 3524 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 39m · 94% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 21m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:30 ORD → 13:21 TPA
    AA 2920 · American · 2h 51m · 79% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 111 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 21m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip7h 51mCMH 05:30 to TPA 13:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.