tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Orlando via Dulles: arrives on time 51%

  1. 14:48 IND → 16:32 IAD
    UA 3530 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 84% on time, 1.7% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:22 IAD → 19:45 MCO
    UA 2463 · United · 2h 23m · 71% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 57m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (1.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 57mIND 14:48 to MCO 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.