tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chattanooga via Charlotte: arrives on time 70%

  1. 15:01 EWR → 17:10 CLT
    UA 3533 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 09m · 81% on time, 8.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 14m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 20:24 CLT → 21:52 CHA
    AA 5787 · American, flown by Piedmont · 1h 28m · 80% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 104 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 14m layover.
Arrives on time70%First flight not cancelled (8.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 51mEWR 15:01 to CHA 21:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.