tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → Washington via Chicago: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:05 HHH → 16:51 ORD
    UA 3542 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 46m · 67% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 54m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:45 ORD → 22:54 DCA
    UA 2160 · United · 2h 09m · 56% on time, 5.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection93%The first flight arrived more than 129 minutes late on 7% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 54m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (93%) × second flight not cancelled (5.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 49mHHH 15:05 to DCA 22:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.