tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hilton Head Island → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 56%

  1. 15:05 HHH → 16:51 ORD
    UA 3542 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 46m · 67% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 3h 16m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:07 ORD → 23:39 EWR
    UA 759 · United · 2h 32m · 65% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 151 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 16m layover.
Arrives on time56%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip8h 34mHHH 15:05 to EWR 23:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.