tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 09:00 TVC → 09:30 ORD
    UA 3544 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:35 ORD → 15:00 LGA
    DL 2985 · Delta · 2h 25m · 78% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip6h 00mTVC 09:00 to LGA 15:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.