tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 90%

  1. 09:00 TVC → 09:30 ORD
    UA 3544 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 15m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:45 ORD → 13:27 MSP
    AA 3719 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 42m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 45 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 15m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip5h 27mTVC 09:00 to MSP 13:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.