tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 66%

  1. 09:00 TVC → 09:30 ORD
    UA 3544 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 30m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 ORD → 15:23 LGA
    UA 2267 · United · 2h 23m · 69% on time, 3.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 105 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 30m layover.
Arrives on time66%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.3% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip6h 23mTVC 09:00 to LGA 15:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.