tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Traverse City → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 81%

  1. 09:00 TVC → 09:30 ORD
    UA 3544 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:29 ORD → 16:27 IAH
    AA 4426 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 56m · 83% on time, 3.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (Houston is 1 h behind Traverse City). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 149 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 59m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.2% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 25mTVC 09:00 to IAH 16:27, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.