tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Newark: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:30 SDF → 08:38 EWR
    UA 3594 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 08m · 90% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 3h 42m layover in Newark (EWR) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:20 EWR → 15:29 MIA
    AA 1822 · American · 3h 09m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 59m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 132 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 42m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip8h 59mSDF 06:30 to MIA 15:29, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.