tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Orlando via Newark: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:30 SDF → 08:38 EWR
    UA 3594 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 08m · 90% on time, 4.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 23m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:01 EWR → 12:54 MCO
    UA 1739 · United · 2h 53m · 76% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 38 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 23m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.4% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip6h 24mSDF 06:30 to MCO 12:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.