tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Milwaukee → Orlando via Newark: arrives on time 38%

  1. 10:53 MKE → 14:14 EWR
    UA 3609 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 78% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 EWR → 17:57 MCO
    UA 1213 · United · 2h 58m · 74% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Orlando is 1 h ahead of Milwaukee). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection56%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 44% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (56%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 05mMKE 10:53 to MCO 17:57, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.