Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Detroit → Louisville via Newark: arrives on time 51%
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15:15 DTW → 17:10 EWRUA 3611 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 55m · 76% on time, 6.0% cancelled
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50m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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18:00 EWR → 20:25 SDFUA 3415 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 25m · 85% on time, 5.8% cancelled
Total trip 5h 10m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (6.0% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (5.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 10mDTW 15:15 to SDF 20:25, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.