tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Dallas-Fort Worth via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:24 RIC → 18:53 ORD
    UA 3635 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 29m · 69% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 ORD → 22:36 DFW
    UA 1673 · United · 2h 46m · 65% on time, 3.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (3.4% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 12mRIC 17:24 to DFW 22:36, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.