tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 32%

  1. 17:24 RIC → 18:53 ORD
    UA 3635 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 29m · 69% on time, 5.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 04m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:57 ORD → 21:45 BNA
    UA 2063 · United · 1h 48m · 51% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 21m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 19 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 04m layover.
Arrives on time32%First flight not cancelled (5.6% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (51%).
Total trip5h 21mRIC 17:24 to BNA 21:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.