tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Pittsburgh via Newark: arrives on time 40%

  1. 19:05 DTW → 20:59 EWR
    UA 3644 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 54m · 71% on time, 12.7% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:50 EWR → 23:23 PIT
    UA 3477 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 33m · 78% on time, 5.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (12.7% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (5.9% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 18mDTW 19:05 to PIT 23:23, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.