tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dulles via Rochester: arrives on time 86%

  1. 10:17 EWR → 11:40 ROC
    UA 3647 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 94% on time, 3.6% cancelled
  2. 3h 20m layover in Rochester (ROC) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:00 ROC → 16:21 IAD
    UA 4521 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 21m · 92% on time, 3.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 155 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 20m layover.
Arrives on time86%First flight not cancelled (3.6% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (3.7% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 04mEWR 10:17 to IAD 16:21, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.