tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Madison via Newark: arrives on time 67%

  1. 06:00 DTW → 07:45 EWR
    UA 3652 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 45m · 88% on time, 4.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:38 EWR → 10:09 MSN
    UA 3608 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 31m · 85% on time, 2.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection85%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 15% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time67%First flight not cancelled (4.0% are) × connection made (85%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 09mDTW 06:00 to MSN 10:09, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.