Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Orlando via Newark: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:44 ORF → 19:42 EWR
    UA 3654 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 67% on time, 11.7% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:30 EWR → 23:32 MCO
    UA 1190 · United · 3h 02m · 73% on time, 4.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection58%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 42% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (11.7% are) × connection made (58%) × second flight not cancelled (4.5% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip5h 48mORF 17:44 to MCO 23:32, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.