tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Norfolk → Fort Lauderdale via Newark: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:44 ORF → 19:42 EWR
    UA 3654 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 58m · 67% on time, 11.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:44 EWR → 23:59 FLL
    UA 1897 · United · 3h 15m · 65% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection67%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 33% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (11.7% are) × connection made (67%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip6h 15mORF 17:44 to FLL 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.