tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Pittsburgh → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 25%

  1. 16:10 PIT → 17:01 ORD
    UA 3662 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 51m · 73% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:00 ORD → 21:25 LGA
    UA 1623 · United · 2h 25m · 41% on time, 13.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time25%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (13.5% are) and within 15 minutes (41%).
Total trip5h 15mPIT 16:10 to LGA 21:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.