tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Hebron via Newark: arrives on time 38%

  1. 16:48 DTW → 18:42 EWR
    UA 3666 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 54m · 77% on time, 18.8% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:30 EWR → 21:52 CVG
    UA 3472 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 22m · 79% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection66%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 34% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time38%First flight not cancelled (18.8% are) × connection made (66%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 04mDTW 16:48 to CVG 21:52, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.