tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Buffalo → Los Angeles via Dulles: arrives on time 75%

  1. 06:15 BUF → 07:34 IAD
    UA 3668 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 90% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 1h 36m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:10 IAD → 11:39 LAX
    UA 1868 · United · 5h 29m · 85% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival (Los Angeles is 3 h behind Buffalo). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 51 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 36m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 24mBUF 06:15 to LAX 11:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.