tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Madison via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 07:30 EWR → 09:31 DTW
    UA 3672 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 01m · 97% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:26 DTW → 12:43 MSN
    DL 844 · Delta · 1h 17m · 80% on time, 1.4% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 85 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.4% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip6h 13mEWR 07:30 to MSN 12:43, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.