tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Madison → Charlotte via Newark: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:52 MSN → 14:12 EWR
    UA 3675 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 20m · 78% on time, 4.3% cancelled
  2. 49m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 15:01 EWR → 17:10 CLT
    UA 3533 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 09m · 81% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 18m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Madison). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (4.3% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip5h 18mMSN 10:52 to CLT 17:10, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.