tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Minneapolis → New York via Dulles: arrives on time 41%

  1. 17:05 MSP → 20:43 IAD
    UA 3678 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 38m · 88% on time, 7.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 22m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:05 IAD → 23:30 LGA
    UA 3682 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 25m · 58% on time, 16.1% cancelled

Total trip 5h 25m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Minneapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection92%The first flight arrived more than 37 minutes late on 8% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 22m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (7.4% are) × connection made (92%) × second flight not cancelled (16.1% are) and within 15 minutes (58%).
Total trip5h 25mMSP 17:05 to LGA 23:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.