tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Indianapolis: arrives on time 88%

  1. 06:15 EWR → 08:23 IND
    UA 3683 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 08m · 90% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 22m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:45 IND → 11:05 ORD
    UA 3534 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 97 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 22m layover.
Arrives on time88%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (89%).
Total trip5h 50mEWR 06:15 to ORD 11:05, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.