Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Norfolk via Dulles: arrives on time 41%
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14:51 LGA → 16:35 IADUA 3688 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 63% on time, 5.1% cancelled
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1h 10m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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17:45 IAD → 18:59 ORFUA 4308 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 14m · 65% on time, 4.2% cancelled
Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 25 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 10m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (4.2% are) and within 15 minutes (65%).
Total trip4h 08mLGA 14:51 to ORF 18:59, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.