Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → Buffalo via Dulles: arrives on time 42%
-
14:51 LGA → 16:35 IADUA 3688 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 63% on time, 5.1% cancelled
-
55m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
-
17:30 IAD → 19:03 BUFUA 4823 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 33m · 76% on time, 4.1% cancelled
Total trip 4h 12m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection60%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 40% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (60%) × second flight not cancelled (4.1% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip4h 12mLGA 14:51 to BUF 19:03, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.