Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Orlando via Dulles: arrives on time 36%

  1. 14:51 LGA → 16:35 IAD
    UA 3688 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 44m · 63% on time, 5.1% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:22 IAD → 19:45 MCO
    UA 2463 · United · 2h 23m · 71% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.1% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (71%).
Total trip4h 54mLGA 14:51 to MCO 19:45, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.