tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → Raleigh/Durham via Dulles: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:10 PHL → 07:19 IAD
    UA 3693 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 09m · 97% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 1h 02m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:21 IAD → 09:34 RDU
    UA 529 · United · 1h 13m · 69% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 3h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 17 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 02m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip3h 24mPHL 06:10 to RDU 09:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.