tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Nashville via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 09:00 SDF → 09:38 ORD
    UA 3696 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 51m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:29 ORD → 14:14 BNA
    UA 3634 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 45m · 90% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 14m, scheduled departure to arrival (Nashville is 1 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 51m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (90%).
Total trip6h 14mSDF 09:00 to BNA 14:14, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.