tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Washington via Newark: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:00 CMH → 19:00 EWR
    UA 3710 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 00m · 64% on time, 5.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 20m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:20 EWR → 21:53 DCA
    UA 4457 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 33m · 45% on time, 9.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 35 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 20m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (5.3% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (9.5% are) and within 15 minutes (45%).
Total trip4h 53mCMH 17:00 to DCA 21:53, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.