tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Myrtle Beach → Minneapolis via Newark: arrives on time 36%

  1. 18:46 MYR → 20:55 EWR
    UA 3714 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 09m · 69% on time, 5.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:55 EWR → 23:59 MSP
    UA 1331 · United · 3h 04m · 62% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 6h 13m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Myrtle Beach). Times are local. Both flew on 36 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (5.7% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip6h 13mMYR 18:46 to MSP 23:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.