tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Philadelphia → New Orleans via Atlanta: arrives on time 78%

  1. 09:32 PHL → 11:53 ATL
    AA 4338 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 21m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 52m layover in Atlanta (ATL) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:45 ATL → 14:17 MSY
    DL 3157 · Delta · 1h 35m · 83% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (New Orleans is 1 h behind Philadelphia). Times are local. Both flew on 22 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 22 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 1h 52m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 48mPHL 09:32 to MSY 14:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.