Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Buffalo via Boston: arrives on time 40%

  1. 17:14 JFK → 18:48 BOS
    AA 4346 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 61% on time, 7.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 12m layover in Boston (BOS) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:00 BOS → 21:50 BUF
    AA 4616 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 50m · 72% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 4h 36m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 27 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 12m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (7.9% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip4h 36mJFK 17:14 to BUF 21:50, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.