tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Bangor → Washington via New York: arrives on time 33%

  1. 17:03 BGR → 18:49 LGA
    AA 4348 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 46m · 69% on time, 4.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in New York (LGA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:50 LGA → 21:26 DCA
    AA 4719 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 36m · 64% on time, 21.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 23m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time33%First flight not cancelled (4.9% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (21.4% are) and within 15 minutes (64%).
Total trip4h 23mBGR 17:03 to DCA 21:26, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.