Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Boston → Madison via Washington: arrives on time 42%

  1. 11:52 BOS → 13:44 DCA
    AA 4349 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 52m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Washington (DCA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 14:35 DCA → 16:04 MSN
    AA 5599 · American, flown by PSA · 2h 22m · 60% on time, 7.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 05m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Boston). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (7.7% are) and within 15 minutes (60%).
Total trip5h 05mBOS 11:52 to MSN 16:04, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.