tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → Charlotte via Raleigh/Durham: arrives on time 75%

  1. 08:18 ORD → 11:38 RDU
    AA 4354 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 18m · 90% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 1h 19m layover in Raleigh/Durham (RDU) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:57 RDU → 14:06 CLT
    AA 2363 · American · 1h 09m · 81% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 4h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 34 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 19m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip4h 48mORD 08:18 to CLT 14:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.