tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Hartford via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 07:59 JFK → 10:02 ORD
    AA 4356 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 03m · 85% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 27m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:29 ORD → 16:52 BDL
    AA 3409 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 24m · 85% on time, 6.9% cancelled

Total trip 8h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 162 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 27m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (6.9% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip8h 54mJFK 07:59 to BDL 16:52, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.