tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Providence via Chicago: arrives on time 72%

  1. 07:59 JFK → 10:02 ORD
    AA 4356 · American, flown by Republic · 3h 03m · 85% on time, 6.7% cancelled
  2. 3h 38m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 13:40 ORD → 17:11 PVD
    AA 3771 · American, flown by Envoy · 2h 30m · 84% on time, 4.8% cancelled

Total trip 9h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 26 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection96%The first flight arrived more than 173 minutes late on 4% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 38m layover.
Arrives on time72%First flight not cancelled (6.7% are) × connection made (96%) × second flight not cancelled (4.8% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 11mJFK 07:59 to PVD 17:11, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.