tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Chicago via Nashville: arrives on time 85%

  1. 06:59 DCA → 08:05 BNA
    AA 4358 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 37m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:42 BNA → 12:38 ORD
    AA 3439 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 56m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 6h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Washington). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 112 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 37m layover.
Arrives on time85%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip6h 39mDCA 06:59 to ORD 12:38, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.