tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Washington → Louisville via Nashville: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:59 DCA → 08:05 BNA
    AA 4358 · American, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 94% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 00m layover in Nashville (BNA) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:05 BNA → 12:00 SDF
    WN 670 · Southwest · 55m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 30 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 00m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip5h 01mDCA 06:59 to SDF 12:00, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.