tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → New York via Chicago: arrives on time 71%

  1. 05:36 IND → 06:00 ORD
    AA 4362 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 06:59 ORD → 10:15 LGA
    AA 2723 · American · 2h 16m · 79% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 54 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time71%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip4h 39mIND 05:36 to LGA 10:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.