tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Phoenix via Chicago: arrives on time 89%

  1. 05:36 IND → 06:00 ORD
    AA 4362 · American, flown by Republic · 1h 24m · 94% on time, 2.8% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 09:02 ORD → 11:03 PHX
    UA 2225 · United · 4h 01m · 95% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 8h 27m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 3 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection99%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 1% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time89%First flight not cancelled (2.8% are) × connection made (99%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip8h 27mIND 05:36 to PHX 11:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.